CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-12-30T09:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-12-30T09:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/28395/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the SE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2 imagery. Due to an ongoing STEREO campaign, this event is only visible for a few frames in STEREO A imagery. The source is a large filament eruption in the SE (spanning 30E30 to S40E70) which begins to lift-off around 2023-12-30T08:30Z as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. Dimming is visible in SDO AIA 193 starting around 09:30Z, and post eruptive arcades begin to form around 10:00Z seen in SDO AIA 171 and 193. This event partially overlaps with CME: 2023-12-30T08:00Z. Event though there is an arrival at L1 at 2024-01-03T14:19Z the 2023-12-31T22:00Z CME is a much more likeliy candidate for this arrival, expecially based on the relatively high speed at L1.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-01-03T03:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 15.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 60.85 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2023-12-31T14:09Z
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